Chapter 1 — Calculus I
Lesson map
Lesson 01 published. Map, example, EX001.
flowchart TD
N0["Learning outcomes"]
N1["1.1 The student and the utility"]
N2["1.2 Rates of change"]
N3["1.3 Monitoring with derivatives"]
N4["1.4 Planning storage"]
N0 --> N1 --> N2 --> N3 --> N4
N4 --> EX["Worked example"]
EX --> Q["Exercise EX001"]
Logical drawing
flowchart LR
N0["Learning outcomes"]
N1["1.1 The student and the utility"]
N2["1.2 Rates of change"]
N3["1.3 Monitoring with derivatives"]
N4["1.4 Planning storage"]
N0 --> N1 --> N2 --> N3 --> N4 --> Q["EX001"]
[Learning outcomes]
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v
[1.1 The student and the utility]
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v
[1.2 Rates of change]
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v
[1.3 Monitoring with derivatives]
|
v
[1.4 Planning storage]
|
v
[Worked example] --> [Exercise EX001]
Learning outcomes
You will (1) use rates of change to describe data flows; (2) relate derivatives to monitoring of data volumes; (3) read a growth curve for storage planning.
1.1 The student and the utility
Kofi Mensah begins a five-year engineering course at the fictional Northfield Polytechnic, supervised by Prof. Elena Varga. His placement partner is the fictional Tidewater Water, which supplies about 400,000 customers, reads 90,000 smart meters every hour and monitors its pipe network with flow sensors. Data governance at Tidewater means deciding who owns meter, sensor and customer data, what quality rules apply and how long records are kept. Prof. Varga explains that every mathematics course will be connected to those decisions through Tidewater's data. Readings arrive continuously.
1.2 Rates of change
Calculus begins with rates of change. If the volume of stored meter readings is a function of time, its derivative tells Tidewater how fast storage grows. Kofi models stored readings as hourly reads multiplied by meters and hours elapsed, giving a constant rate of about 2.16 million readings per day. When Tidewater adds 10,000 meters each quarter, the rate itself increases, and the second derivative becomes positive. He learns that a governance plan for retention must use the rate, not just the current total.
1.3 Monitoring with derivatives
Kofi applies the idea to monitoring. A sudden drop in the rate of incoming readings, which is a large negative change in the derivative, may mean that a data feed has failed rather than that customers stopped using water. Tidewater's data team currently watches only daily totals, which hide hour-by-hour problems. Kofi proposes computing the hourly rate and flagging changes larger than a set fraction. He notes that this mathematical view becomes a governance control, because a missing feed affects billing and leakage reports downstream.
1.4 Planning storage
Using an integral, Kofi estimates total storage over seven years, the period Tidewater's retention schedule sets for billing evidence. With the meter count rising linearly, total readings grow quadratically with time, so storage in year seven far exceeds a simple multiple of year one. Prof. Varga asks him to compare this with a policy that aggregates hourly readings to daily totals after two years. The integral shows a large reduction, which illustrates how retention decisions are also engineering decisions about cost and risk.
Worked example
Kofi models storage growth as a rate, uses changes in the rate to detect failed feeds and integrates over seven years to compare full retention with aggregation after two years.
Synthetic case. Northfield, Tidewater and all people are synthetic.
Errors and limits
Linear growth is an assumption; revisit it when meter roll-out plans change.
Exercises
- EX001 — Daily rate. About how many readings arrive per day? Rubric: 3 = about 2.16 million;; 2 = close;; 1 = wrong;; 0 = none.
- EX002 — Feed failure. What might a sudden drop in the reading rate mean? Rubric: 3 = a failed data feed;; 2 = partly correct;; 1 = vague;; 0 = none.
- EX003 — Aggregation effect. What does aggregating to daily totals after two years do? Rubric: 3 = greatly reduces storage;; 2 = mentions reduction;; 1 = vague;; 0 = none.
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